Tomato prices across Nigeria are projected to drop sharply by October, according to local agricultural producers and market analysts.
Tomato farmers under the auspices of the Tomatoes and Orchard Producers Association of Nigeria (TOOPAN) said the current supply is far below meeting the current demand by those who consume the fresh tomato and large industries that use it as raw material.
The president of TOOPAN, Mr Oyeleke Bola, disclosed this in an interview with Vanguard over the weekend.


In spite of the challenges in the value chain, Nigeria remains the second-largest tomato producer in Africa after Egypt, producing about 1.8 million to 2.3 million metric tonnes of tomatoes annually, with some peak estimates hitting closer to 3.6 million tonnes during optimal harvest years.
He said, “We will be looking at October 2026; prices will crash by that time. October is going to be the next harvesting month, and at that time there will be huge harvests because a lot of our farmers will be harvesting their tomatoes to complement others so that we can have enough in the market, and when we have enough in the market, the price will surely come down.
“By October, we will be harvesting tomatoes from Jos, Kaduna, Kano, and Gombe and down south-west in Ogun, Ondo, Oyo, and part of Lagos States, which are the Badagry and Epe areas.
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“Our small-scale farmers are working very hard. Nigerians should have patience with us, as all of us need to come together to make sure that we solve this problem together.
“Currently, we are doing 25, 30, and 35 tonnes per hectare. Some farmers in the north are doing 30 to 35 tonnes per hectare, while some farmers in the South-West are doing 25 to 30 or 20 to 25 tonnes per hectare.”
According to him, the current price increase is as a result of the high cost of farm inputs traceable to the US-Iran war, where fertilisers were imported into the country; few farmers are going to cultivate tomatoes; there is a rising level of insecurity across tomato-producing states; the cost of seeds is high; there is poor access to finance for farmers; and there are other factors affecting productivity.
However, he said his association is working hard to reduce these challenges, as they are collaborating with seed companies and also fertiliser-producing companies so farmers can purchase farm inputs at affordable prices, including training on best agronomic practices.
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